Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.026737 0.029315 0.031871 0.034590 0.037394 0.040198 0.043208
2025-01-19 0.020480 0.024531 0.028673 0.033199 0.037980 0.042857 0.048189
2025-01-26 0.017671 0.022760 0.028093 0.034033 0.040407 0.046997 0.054282
2025-02-02 0.015047 0.020838 0.027050 0.034090 0.041749 0.049751 0.058675
2025-02-09 0.012327 0.018539 0.025378 0.033267 0.041963 0.051140 0.061457
2025-02-16 0.010700 0.017326 0.024781 0.033505 0.043220 0.053550 0.065230
2025-02-23 0.009112 0.016016 0.023970 0.033412 0.044032 0.055403 0.068330
2025-03-02 0.007613 0.014686 0.023045 0.033113 0.044547 0.056873 0.070957
2025-03-09 0.006383 0.013584 0.022313 0.032974 0.045188 0.058435 0.073636
2025-03-16 0.005009 0.012162 0.021119 0.032239 0.045107 0.059156 0.075354
2025-03-23 0.004179 0.011392 0.020670 0.032333 0.045931 0.060847 0.078105
2025-03-30 0.003235 0.010351 0.019826 0.031918 0.046140 0.061825 0.080042
2025-04-06 0.002195 0.009099 0.018774 0.031370 0.046347 0.062978 0.082384
2025-04-13 0.001078 0.007433 0.017107 0.030060 0.045688 0.063193 0.083738
2025-04-20 0.000740 0.007086 0.017178 0.030867 0.047487 0.066170 0.088153
2025-04-27 0.000332 0.006366 0.016676 0.030923 0.048372 0.068086 0.091359
2025-05-04 0.000012 0.005271 0.015545 0.030131 0.048212 0.068779 0.093164
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004767 0.015236 0.030360 0.049248 0.070819 0.096460
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004156 0.014706 0.030270 0.049877 0.072371 0.099188
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003509 0.014050 0.029982 0.050242 0.073599 0.101529
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002983 0.013531 0.029848 0.050774 0.075002 0.104051
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002287 0.012618 0.029142 0.050577 0.075539 0.105572
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001944 0.012302 0.029232 0.051348 0.077191 0.108347